Best guess on when hiring is going to start picking up again?
Title. It feels like career development has gotten fucked this last year and there aren’t even any shops you can jump to.
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As soon as lenders stop playing nice and start blowing people out. A bloodbath will lead the Fed to cut rates. So then you'll have a bonanza of cheap properties and low rate debt.
It's been happening these last few months. Owners handing back keys, lenders working with some borrowers, owners getting in trouble for any illegal things they've done (Nightingale) - it's all been accelerating these last few months.
We’re in the early legs of this cycle, the distress is just starting. There’s trillions of dollars of debt maturing between ‘24 - ‘25, which is when things will actually fall apart.
For what roles? Half the people I know are desperate to hire good asset managers. If you're on a part of the team that drives value by managing existing assets, job demand is really strong, as people realize that all the shit they bought at low leverage now needs to be actively managed to mitigate losses, instead of flipped to the next idiot backed by low rates and high leverage.
Acquisitions and development roles are probably a little thinner.
We are hiring still at a decent clip (Institutional Developer). However we did just do a sizable layoff, so it's not like we are trying to grow exponentially either.
What market?
We are nationwide (plus some international presence), all product types
I think another year , if not more
Survive to '25
That’s a long time from now… brutal.
Its going to be sparse and unless you have good exp/good shop, its going to be really hard
Depends on team and/or function. I work for a vertically integrated sponsor and our asset management team is expanding to support growth. On the other hand, acquisitions (the team that I work for) isn't actively looking to add headcount given how deal flow has slowed over the past year (plus the team has always run lean given how scalable investment people are). But definitely share the sentiment that hiring has been way more selective / targeted
This tracks with what Ozymandia said. Every role I have seen or heard about pretty much is on the asset management side.
We hired a new guy a few months ago but only because we had someone leave for health issues (GP developer)
Got hired in Acq and Asset Management last month. Backfilling someone else. Good timing plus several other factors.
Just graduated and am really struggling to find opportunities for recent grads. Understand you have a lot more experience, but just a perspective.
I have a surprising amount of recruiters reaching out on LinkedIn for various positions. Most are not ~great~ jobs but there have been some high profile ones. Obviously HH reaching out a job isn’t a huge deal, it means there are for sure openings that you may just need to dig for.
Best of luck to everyone out there searching!
Been in LMM for a year was looking to get into EB/MM/BB looks like I have no chance. Barely any roles popping up
Hate to sound cliche but it depends. If you’re a high quality candidate (good school, institutional experience), I don’t think it’ll be too hard to find a spot at an opportunistic private credit fund (a lot of debt funds raised billions in ‘22 & ‘23). Some of the top names in the biz are looking for acquisition associates for summer ‘24 (GIC & MS). I think for general acquisition roles, hiring won’t normalize probably until late ‘24 or early ‘25. Understand that acq is a well-paid role and shops aren’t gonna hire if they’re not generating acquisition fees from closed deals. I think Asset Management roles are hiring now and will continue to hire through this cycle. FWIW, I think opportunistic credit is the place to be for the next 3-4 years because rates will be elevated for some time, I believe banks will lose market share due to regulation, conservative UW, and shrinking portfolio (i.e selling office and overlevered multi loans), and lots of deals will need to figure out how to plug in holes in their capital stack due to banks being on the sidelines.
I’m in acquisitions now and been seeing exactly what your saying on the lending side. Been thinking of jumping to that side. Any insight into comp for debt funds for analyst/associate positions?
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