Nashville Commercial Real Estate

What are your thoughts on the Nashville commercial real estate market? Is the short-term rental market going to remain HOT as more hotels continue being built? Nashville real estate company RE59

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Doubtful. Consumer spending has been high in Nashville for a while (too long) and so has the money pouring in from tourists. It will slow down assuming we enter into a recession in the next two years or so, I would bet at least a few of the trendy things that have only came to be in Nashville in the last 5 years will fail, because they were built on top of a strong economy and a wave of consumer spending. Shooting for any sort of development in Nashville is risky as depending on the project timeline it could work, but if the impending recession comes sooner than expected it will more than likely be a bust.

I talked with the President of the Tennessee division of a strong Southern regional bank recently, and he shared my thoughts as well. He basically told me he has been in Nashville 30+ years, and what we have right now is without a doubt a bubble. And, the logical time for it to pop is whenever the next recession begins.

Basically IMO you are late to the party in Nashville, all the cool people are already leaving or on their way out the door. The people left inside still think it's the greatest party they've ever been to, mostly because it's the only party they've ever been to; and little do they know, the cops have been called and they're in the mood to make some arrests.

 
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"Liam Gallagher" To be honest no, I don't see there being much of an impact. A lot of the hype has missed something kind of important about Nashville. The schools. They are dog shit in Davidson County. They have said the average pay for these new jobs will be $150,000. I'm already a bit skeptical of that, but assuming it's true, you are most likely talking about mid career corporate professionals that almost assuredly have kids or are having kids. That means they are going to spread out in pockets outside the city, Franklin, Murfreesboro etc. We also don't know how many people will be hired locally, in which case the net change is 0. So while it's a decent amount of jobs, I don't believe that it will have a sizeable effect on real estate in particular.

They could also send their kids to private school like everyone else in the top tax bracket who doesn't live in Brentwood or Franklin

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