Physical Trader within 5 years?

I am trying to get an idea of the career progression timeframe of a physical trader working at a shop like Trafigura/Glencore. If you join a company like this as a graduate, complete your 2 year rotational program, how much more experience would be required before you get a shot at trading?

I understand that there are no guarenteed slots waiting for you when you finish the rotation, and you have to wait for a slot to free up and be good enough at your job etc for them to take a chance on you. But assuming a trading slot has opened up, is it reasonable to be a junior trader within 5 years of joining the company? Thanks for any advice.

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