I'm 99% sure Joe Biden will win the Democratic nomination. Change my mind.
Yes, he has lost early before in presidential races, but this time it is different.
He's the frontrunner and he has the most winnable coalition. Moderates, Older people, black people, working class, Names recognitioners, and people that will solely vote for him because they think he's the best chance to beat Trump.
I use to think it was a 5 person race between Biden Bernie Warren Harris & Buttgieg to a 3 person race between Biden Bernie Warren to now Biden. The pathway there just looks to good for Biden.
I don't see any Obama or Bill Clinton candidate that energizes everybody. I get the Buttgieg hype, but he's just a young guy that's an eloquent speaker who has a sick resume. He doesn't have charisma like Bill or Obama. Kamala? No way. She has an awful record and got rightfully exposed by Tulsi. I haven't met one person that if they were voting today would vote for her. Bernie and Elizabeth Warren are going to split the progressive vote. The only way I see Biden losing is if one of Bernie/Warren drops out before Super Tuesday or Tom Steyer says fuck it and drops $100 million in Iowa, NH, SC, & Nevada. Steyer's unlikely to go anywhere though because he's a billionaire and he made his money off the fossil fuel industry. As you can imagine the left hates that.
That being said, how does Biden match up against the Donald come election day?
Will China tank the economy to prevent Trump from getting a 2nd term?
The MFers EYE started bleeding. Dude keeps flubbing stuff. His appeal is completely media driven right now and based on his past image. He will fall flat on his face (hopefully not actually) one of these days.
There is a greater than 1% chance he dies before 11/3/2020
I mean yeah he's 76
Betting odds have Warren at slightly less than double the chances of Biden getting the nomination currently. Current odds as of this moment:
Warren: 34% Biden: 21% Sanders: 14% Harris: 11% Pete: 5% Yang: 5% (This one is dumb money)
Everyone else is irrelevant to the point Hillary Clinton getting back in and running has a better chance than them
If he runs, Trump wins. And hell yeah we want Greenland.
Yang has this. Just watch
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