Underwriting Multi-Year Stock Investments
I'm trying to learn how funds that have an average holding period of 3-5 years underwrite investments. I know that investors operate out of risk-reward outcomes rather than just a single price target but I'm having trouble how you determine the risk-reward setup 3-5 years from now. Do investors just evaluate the risk-reward setup today, decide to buy the stock, and then continue to hold the stock if the risk-reward maintains or improves as time goes on through those 5 years?
Investors may model forecasts for 3-5 years out and build a DCF but that's recognizing value today. The same thing can be said about multiples. Could it be that you would use 2024 multiples on 2027 estimates to determine a potential PT?
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