Crypto Here To Stay?

Okay so the huge craze and hype over bitcoin and its counterparts are long over, last year seeing the price tumble to the dark depths of oblivion. Do you guys think that bitcoin will actually have a place in society as a payment means other than for drugs and illegal shit etc... CFA level 1 and 2 have added crypto as a topic for examination so it looks like it's here to stay. What are your guys' take on it? Do you stay well clear of this jumpy type of 'investment'? I just can't trust it just yet because it's price fluctuates more than a teenage girl's mood on her period.

31 Comments
 

Absolutely, yes. So long as demand of any kind exists for a non-government issue currency in any way, shape, or form, and so long as a superior alternative isn’t made available, crypto is going to be here.

in it 2 win it
 
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To me, it feels like cryptocurrencies will continue to gather ground. A growing range of companies are accepting Bitcoin and other cryptos for legit purchases such as Expedia.com, Microsoft, Overstock.com, Dish Network and the list is growing.

In May, there was talk of Goldman Sachs starting to use its own money to trade with customers in Bitcoin-linked contracts. GS isn't currently buying/selling actual Bitcoin yet, but they've put a team together to look at that happening in the future along with getting whatever regulatory approvals and such.

Mitsubith UFJ is building what they call the "MUFG coin" for borderless shopping. CME is plotting on launching at least a couple of ethereum-priced products and indexes.

The SEC's been looking into crypto. Companies like Thomson Reuters are providing research products on the crypto topic, not just blockchain. And I am certainly seeing a slow but steady uptick in equity research on crypto discussions as well.

 

Agreed, there are a variety of hurdles that still need to be jumped before crypto gets remotely close to being a more mainstream way of handling purchases. Compared to the big dogs [credit card companies like Visa, as you mentioned] and other payment services like PayPal, Bitcoin needs to seriously step up its game speed-wise.

Have to see if I can relocate an article or blog piece that mentioned a typical Bitcoin transaction taking some 10 minutes and that it’s advised that you wait until receiving 6 confirmations before considering the transaction being completed as successful. That’s 60 minutes and I have read elsewhere of averages of closer to 80 minutes to complete a Bitcoin transaction.

Add to that, there is still the very obvious issue of security. The WSJ did a piece last month that mentioned over 50 hacks since 2010 or 2011 occuring on various crypto-exchanges and during ICOs.

 

I think crypto currencies will become more and more relevant in the future. Especially because of the Blockchain technologiy that provides transactions in a non- centralized network. But it will probably take more years until Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are generally accepted for normal purchasing..

science is organized knowledge - wisdom is organized life. Kant
 

It is the pet rock of our day... people 5 years from now will look back on it and laugh.

 

Yes, I think crypto (i.e. decentralized ledgers being used for transactions) will continue to exist, although at what price will crypto trade is under fierce debate due to disagreements in valuation methods.

The more difficult question will be which currency(ies) can last through the transitional period of potential institutional investment in the space, pump and dumb scandals, difficulty actually using the currency in an everyday sense, having to account for gains/losses on all transactions, etc. Overall, the best bet right now I'd say is on BTC itself as the market continues to consolidate (useless coins get flushed out, other coins sell off harder than BTC) as it does in times of prolonged weakness.

Definitely will be personally following the crypto markets for the next few years - very interesting market case study if anything...

 

I laugh at anyone who thinks it will become a "day to day" currency. If you want to understand where this whole blockchain craze is headed I suggest people read "The God Protocol" by Nick Szabo

 

The introduction of institutional players (if and when that happens) will make a huge impact on whether or not crypto is here to stay. We’re still in the early stages of crypto as an asset class and this year’s bear market could provide the right environment for these bigger players to make their mark. Regulation and custodial issues are still a major hurdle but signs of progress on this have happened over the course of this year.

 

It surprises me to see so many "legitimate" sources in academia, media, and industry support something like Bitcoin. It's a nefarious means of exchange.

The bottom line is, if you're not doing anything illegal, there's no reason Bitcoin should interest you.

 

It's like gold that while it's fundamentally impossible to value by any financial valuation theory ever, people still buy it. We can scream until we're blue in the face about net present value and discounted cash flow, but ultimately an asset is worth what someone else is willing to pay for it. And, people are willing to buy it. My prediction is Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ethereum remain the "big 3" of crypto and start getting something resembling price stability. Then, the blatant obvious scam coins will disappear (what the hell is MaidSafeCoin or Dentacoin), and coins with a true unique value add of some sort will remain.

My bet is once the "oracle problem" is solved, smart contracts will end up automating a lot of back office functions, especially with OTC swaps. The problem now is that smart contracts could be pointing to bad data, but since they're self-executing intentionally without human intervention, there's no safeguard of some sort in case bad data triggers them, either through intentional malfeasance or if someone at Bloomberg, ICE or whoever just fat fingered something. If we can get assurance of good data, or getting good "oracles" as they call them, then I bet that we'll see more adoption of smart contracts and blockchain tech in general.

 
"DonalDayUmTray" Okay so the huge craze and hype over bitcoin and its counterparts are long over, last year seeing the price tumble to the dark depths of oblivion. Do you guys think that bitcoin will actually have a place in society as a payment means other than for drugs and illegal shit etc... CFA level 1 and 2 have added crypto as a topic for examination so it looks like it's here to stay. What are your guys' take on it? Do you stay well clear of this jumpy type of 'investment'? I just can't trust it just yet because it's price fluctuates more than a teenage girl's mood on her period.

Let me tell you how i see Bitcoin. Me: " Can i make money trading this?" Me: "Yes i can" Me: "Then i don't care what future it has or what past it had, i don't care if it becomes an certified currency, i don't care if it will replace the cash i have in my pocket, as long as i can trade it and make money out of it, i don't care" Cheers

Off topic : "it's price fluctuates more than a teenage girl's mood on her period." you didn't saw my wife ... and she's not a teenager

 

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