DCF and owner's earnings help

My fellow monkeys,

I have recently submitted an article on Fabrinet (FN), for which I see near to mid term upside of between 37% and 67%, and a long term upside in excess of 100%. I've been doing a lot of reading on valuation, mainly through a Bear Stearn's PDF, along with Aswath Damodaron, McKinsey and Co, and my readings of Benjamin Graham, Seth Klarman, and Bruce Greenwald. I used the top-down approach for DCF : 1.EBIT 2.EBIT(1-TR) 3. add: D/A 4. less: capex 4. less: increases in non-cash working capital 5. FCFF. I chose to use FCFF because the firm is not highly levered. I used a discount rate of 15% to be conservative.

I am still not confident with cash flow modeling, and my understanding of using the change in non-cash working capital is still a little iffy. I will attach my models, and hopefully you all can improve my skills!

P.S. the DCF model is the one on the top, the owner's earnings model is on the bottom.

3 Comments
 

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