HF Pros - How do you Model a Short Position?
IB analyst here.
Curious to know how you’d model a short position.
Would you forecast an operating model and stress test downsides on a short structure with sensitivities for various line items?
Any and all colour appreciated.
As far as models go, no different from a long position, really...That said, there are critical variables to keep an eye on that are unique to short positions - i.e., borrow, short interest, liquidity, etc - though I typically evaluate the aforementioned variables before committing real time to any potential short idea. No one wants to spend the time ramping on a new name/building model/making calls only to arrive at the conclusion that the short is way too crowded for comfort.
Hope that's helpful. Cheers
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