How do you justify your revenue forecast when presenting an idea?
I am looking at a mobile game company and obviously the company does not give out much operating data for individual games (only PC vs Mobile revenue). Would you guys try to break the revenue line down to individual games, top vs average games, and go from there?
My issue is that when the company announces its results, how do I know what went right/wrong in my own forecast using my own breakdown? It could be mobile game A doing well, while I actually predicted game B to drive the growth, but I would almost never know that was the case.
Also, the company has a lot of games. There's no way I can breakdown into every single game too, and even if I do, the chances of me getting it all right is slim.
Any thoughts?
