Shorting Biotech Stocks Based On Possible Clinical Trial Outcomes

Hi

I was a clinical consultant at a small consulting company for a while. Part of my job was to analyze publicly available preclinical and clinical data to determine the probability of success of Phase III trials. I understand that funds would be interested to have this kind of prediction so they can invest accordingly - especially if I can predict which trials will fail with a high certainty so they can short the stoack. How can I monetize this skillset? Do I just contact funds and sell them a report of my analysis and predictions? Or do I create some sort of blog where members can access my research? Any ideas on pricing?

Sorry for the long post. Thanks.

8 Comments
 

Early stage biotech funds already have MD/PhDs on payroll or as scientific advisors to do exactly that. You could apply to join one ofc, but most of them are down 20-30%+ this year so probably not looking to hire.

 

Neque facilis dignissimos aut voluptatem fugiat at culpa sequi. Assumenda ab maiores deserunt sed. Voluptas placeat optio ex et soluta omnis. Et ullam esse nostrum tenetur eum. Deserunt in expedita eveniet dicta aliquam aut.

Career Advancement Opportunities

September 2026 Hedge Fund

  • Point72 99.0%
  • D.E. Shaw 98.0%
  • Citadel Investment Group 97.0%
  • AQR Capital Management 96.0%
  • Magnetar Capital 95.0%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

September 2026 Hedge Fund

  • Magnetar Capital 99.0%
  • D.E. Shaw 98.0%
  • Blackstone Group 97.0%
  • Citadel Investment Group 96.0%
  • Two Sigma Investments 94.9%

Professional Growth Opportunities

September 2026 Hedge Fund

  • AQR Capital Management 99.0%
  • Point72 98.0%
  • D.E. Shaw 97.1%
  • Citadel Investment Group 96.1%
  • Magnetar Capital 95.1%

Total Avg Compensation

September 2026 Hedge Fund

  • Portfolio Manager (9) $1,648
  • Vice President (27) $464
  • Director/MD (11) $372
  • NA (9) $320
  • Engineer/Quant (83) $287
  • 3rd+ Year Associate (26) $284
  • Manager (4) $282
  • 2nd Year Associate (32) $253
  • 1st Year Associate (76) $193
  • Analysts (234) $178
  • Intern/Summer Associate (29) $145
  • Junior Trader (5) $102
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (276) $95
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
3
kanon's picture
kanon
99.0
4
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
5
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
6
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
7
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
98.9
8
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
9
DrApeman's picture
DrApeman
98.9
10
Linda Abraham's picture
Linda Abraham
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”