Stay in UMM / MF PE or leave for Activist HF

I am currently at a European UMM / MF PE shop in New York (Latest fund $5-15bn, think Cinven, Astorg, Permira, PAI).

Currently in final stages with a top activist fund (think Elliott, Starboard, ValueAct) to work under one of their strong / well-performing PMs.

I think it is a no-brainer to take the offer if I get it but wanted to check with the community what you guys think. Willing to take on some more risk for the potential for outsized near-term earnings (if that is still possible from the funds I listed?)

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I don't know if job security is that much worse at those funds than at a UMM / MF PE shop. 

Since you are already VP level, I would think you have performed well enough in your career that you aren't getting shitcanned like someone who would out of banking for being straight up incompetent.   Both are likely up or out type seats so you need to perform in both but those strats aren't pod models where you are gone in a quarter. 

Moving back to PE at a similar sized fund if you don't do well, I wouldn't imagine would be off the table though you probably lose credit for the years at the activist fund.  Easier to say - I liked private transactions with control more than the process elements of public campaigns than the, "looking for a new opportunity down-market".   

People generally assume you are getting pushed out in both circumstances but easier to believe in someone who didn't do great in public markets than someone who is trying to "trade down" in fund size.  

 

To put it simply, almost no one willingly leaves those types of roles. Even if you don't love the process the comp is usually enough to alleviate those feelings. If they do leave its usually 1) performance, 2) political, or 3) to start their own thing. If you're not doing the 3rd, it's almost always 1 of the first 2.

It's better self-marketing to position yourself as "I disliked the process of dealing with public campaigns where there are so many more variables to deal with that you can't control for" (e.g. regulators or in theory how someone could just come along and fuck your whole thesis out of spite a la Icahn/Ackman) than to be the bigger fish looking for a smaller pond. It'll ingratiate yourself more to the folks you're talking to. At least that's how I'm interpreting it.

"If you don't have any enemies in life you have never stood up for anything" - Winston Churchill | "It's a testament to the sheer belligerence of the profession that people would rather argue about the 'risk-adjusted returns' of using inferior tooth cleaning methods." - kellycriterion
 

Bump, curious what comp looks like given when you look up analysts at Pershing their $5mm condos pop up

 

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