Switching fund from DM to Frontier market?
Would like to get some thoughts / stories on looking at stocks in the frontier market. Best if you are L/S set-up, wider opinion always welcomed.
Reason asking is that there is a good opportunity for me to make a move to cover some frontier market names, currently I'm doing well in DM and find it sophisticated yet but everything is so well ran / can be a bit boring at times, does frontier markets open up more opportunities to make money?
Things worry me is that I'm not sure if the people are top tier in FM (ofc there will be, but thinking on avg) like the ones I already interact with now (absolutely top tier talents / managements in the whole industry). Maybe not a wise move for longer term career gain / learnings.
Any thoughts?
Switching from developed markets (DM) to frontier markets (FM) can indeed present a unique set of opportunities and challenges. Based on insights from the WSO Dataset, here are some considerations and experiences shared by professionals who have navigated this transition:
Opportunity for Alpha: Frontier markets are less researched and followed by investors compared to developed markets. This lack of coverage can lead to mispriced assets and, therefore, greater opportunities for alpha. The inefficiencies in these markets can be a goldmine for skilled analysts willing to do the deep dive.
Volatility and Risk: Frontier markets are known for their volatility, which can be both a risk and an opportunity. Political instability, currency fluctuations, and lower liquidity are common in FM, making it crucial to have a robust risk management strategy. However, for a long/short setup, volatility can provide opportunities to profit from both upward and downward movements in the market.
Quality of Management and Companies: Concerns about the quality of management and companies in frontier markets are valid. While there are certainly top-tier talents and companies in FM, on average, the level of sophistication might not match that of developed markets. This requires more thorough due diligence and a keen eye for identifying strong management teams and business models.
Learning Curve: Transitioning to frontier markets involves a steep learning curve. Understanding the local economic, political, and cultural context is crucial for making informed investment decisions. This can be both challenging and rewarding, as it broadens your perspective and enhances your analytical skills.
Career Considerations: From a career standpoint, specializing in frontier markets can set you apart in the investment community. It can position you as an expert in a niche area, which could be beneficial in the long run. However, it's also important to consider the liquidity and size of the markets you're covering, as these factors can impact your career mobility and opportunities.
Liquidity Concerns: One of the challenges mentioned in the context is the liquidity issue in frontier markets. It can be difficult to build or exit positions without significantly impacting the market price. This is an important consideration for a long/short setup, where the ability to quickly enter or exit positions can be critical to the strategy's success.
In conclusion, while moving to frontier markets can open up new opportunities for making money and learning, it comes with its own set of challenges. It's essential to weigh the potential for higher returns against the increased risk and volatility. Engaging with a network of professionals who have experience in frontier markets can provide valuable insights and help you make a more informed decision.
Sources: Q&A: Emerging markets investment analyst, Why Are Fund of Funds looked down upon?, Thoughts on Investor Relations? A good or bad move?, Join startup HF or pursue MBA? Seeking advice.., Leaving the sell side to a Hedge fund
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