It’s Hard to Walk With Two Broken Legs

Morgan Stanley has declared that stocks have two broken legs, essentially asserting that a large loss of market momentum is imminent, which would further result in a large market correction (the likes of which have not been seen since the dot com era). By the ‘two legs” it means the technology sector (which has been trending up) and the consumer staples sector (which has been trending down).

While recent price action has been positive, however, Morgan Stanley is concerned about how breadth — the number of stocks rising compared with the number falling — was diverging from price.

“Fewer stocks are carrying the load of the market, a sign of exhaustion and, in our view, a bad signal for further price gains,” the investment bank’s team of analysts wrote.

This means that once they take a fall, then the stock indices may plummet alongside them, which could lead to severe bear markets.

In regards to this in general, what does the WSO community think?

Additionally, regarding Apple’s 100B stock buyback plan, do you think that Apple remains undervalued, or do you think that the “1 trillion” mark should be seen as a legitimate warning sign?