Changing jobs this time of year

For people going from one BB to another in 2Q/3Q, what type of offer would you expect to compensate for loss of expected bonus? Is the initial offer usually quite fair in this regard, or do you need to drive a hard bargain and demand consideration? I want to drive a bargain, but I am also very eager to leave and don't want to F things up.

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Well I have received a verbal communication... they are offering a 20% bump in base and said that they will budget a bonus for me that will be on par with my 2013 bonus. However they cannot put this down on contract as a signing bonus, so it is basically a gentleman's agreement. I imagine it should be solid?

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