What’s everyone’s expectations of when the market will rebound?
So far in early Q1 things haven’t been so great and I don’t think things will be much better till Q12025 at the earliest.
Hope I’m wrong but what are your guys thoughts?
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Based on the most helpful WSO content, it seems that the UK M&A market has been facing some challenges. Here's a breakdown of the situation:
Q1 Performance: The early part of Q1 hasn't been very strong. This could be due to a variety of factors, including economic uncertainty and the after-effects of previous market conditions.
Expectations for Rebound: Your expectation of a rebound not occurring until at least Q1 2025 suggests a cautious outlook. This could be influenced by the current economic climate, geopolitical issues, and market dynamics.
Factors to Consider:
It's important to note that M&A markets are often lagging indicators, meaning they tend to reflect changes in the economy and broader financial markets with a delay. Given the unpredictable nature of these markets, it's always possible for a quicker rebound or further delays depending on how the aforementioned factors evolve.
As for your thoughts on the market not improving until Q1 2025, it's a perspective that considers the potential for prolonged challenges. However, markets can be quite dynamic, and unexpected positive developments could lead to an earlier recovery.
What are your specific concerns about the UK M&A market that lead you to believe a rebound won't happen until Q1 2025? Understanding these concerns could provide a more detailed discussion on the topic.
Sources: Reminder: M&A Markets are a LAGGING indicator, https://www.wallstreetoasis.com/forum/investment-banking/investment-banking-in-the-uk-an-overview?customgpt=1, The ‘Business Cycle’ framework, BO to M&A and think I've failed; should I move back to BO?, The Rainmakers of 2010
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