Valuation Help

Quick question. If you are trying to value a company, will you get the same valuation using both of these methods, or will the number be different? Assume we know the company will grow at 5% forever.

Method 1:

Project FCF for Years 1-5 and discount to present + Terminal Value

Method 2:

Growth in perpetuity - FCF year 1/ discount rate-growth rate

I get a higher number for method 1, but shouldn't they be the same?

6 Comments
 

yes, that perpetuity growth formula gives you the terminal value in year 5, which needs to then be discounted to present value @ t=0

that should fix your problem

 
Solidarityyes, that perpetuity growth formula gives you the terminal value in year 5, which needs to then be discounted to present value @ t=0

that should fix your problem

Yep that worked thanks. But in order to get the right number, I have to use 5 as the exponent on the denominator when discounting the terminal value. Since the TV is derived from year 6 cash flow, why am I only discounting 5 years, not 6?

 
Since the TV is derived from year 6 cash flow, why am I only discounting 5 years, not 6?

The TV is giving you the value of all cash flows from year 6 to infinity, at t=5, hence you discount 5 years back to t=0

it's just a basic perpetuity growth formula

 

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