Hi all,
Was curious to see how one could model the acquisition of a distressed company such as CS? Also interested in how to do this for banks specifically and in any resources that cover this in depth.
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following. interested as welll
For the bank: model spread income net of an assumption for losses from the merger.
For other businesses like IB advisory: assume some market share increase and apply a multiple
This seems like a pretty pointless exercise. this deal will have enormous revenue dis-synergies, headcount reductions, facility closures, and a ring-fencing of numerous CS businesses. CS balance sheet needs to be marked to market. Etc.
UBS itself probably has 0 insight into any of these issues. There’s no way you can create a model worth a damn with this much uncertainty.
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