Yes MJ is basically replacing Trauber - To Laghari's credit, he was promoted extremely quickly to the top - and become the head of upstream IB. I was originally thinking he decided to move out because there was basically no more room for him to grow further up. Although, made me wonder if Trauber was retiring why not let Laghari take MJ's place. I assume it was more about the money than anything else. Gugg probably lining up his pockets. 

 
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Would have been fr sus if Trauber left and other bankers did not bail to other banks - one could interpret that as either a legitimate retirement or more likely a gracious exit after some bad behavior. 
 

Instead what we got was far more interesting and surprising. A group that has dominated high profile energy M&A has seen its face and hands leave in a single swoop. What I think this points to, as I think some others have surmised, is the boiling point of a bank that is getting pressure to exit upstream lending. On top of that ya there is probably tons of internal conflict over the ST comp guarantees. Why would a bank nuke its own fee machine that enjoys tremendous market share and seemingly wasn’t going anywhere? 
 

I will caveat a good counter argument to this would be that Guggenheim does not have a balance sheet to solicit advisory business to the MDs leaving may not have been looking for new homes for that reason but I have to think that if your upper mgmt is saying curb the lending and that’s a big tool in the kit, that feeling of hostility has got to prompt a job search. 
 

but idk tho 

 

I was thinking about that too - How gugg doesn't have a balance sheet. However, I think the MDs were facing shit bonuses + more and more regulations on how you can lend, the latter of which would have turned away clients that were looking for the balance sheet cuz Jane wouldn't want it. Hence, they probably thought hey if we are turning away clients due to being unable to lend with our balance sheet, might as well hop to a bank that will at least pay us much better. So at least that way they get one of the two instead of neither of the two. 

 

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