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78% now
Polymarket | Presidential Election Winner 2024
I was doing sober November but I will have to steal a day from December. It’s time to drink a sixer of tripel and watch the liberal tears on CNN.
haha nice
Makes sense. NC & GA are currently trending red, although Atlanta suburbs are looking better for her than they were with Biden. Kamala can still win with just PA, WI, & MI though so this is probably just a way to make money. When/if one of them breaks for Trump, it’ll erupt.
Betting markets are still not a particularly effective way to predict elections when you have dudes in Europe making million dollar plays.
83% this is over
87%
The story of this election is minorities (esp Latino) and men delivered trump the presidency
90%
I'm tempted to throw some money at Kamala just because of the potential upset lol, would make a fat consolation prize
Numbers get reported really oddly time-wise. That's always been the risk with people saying the election was "stolen." Combine this with the messes I've outlined earlier with chumps in the betting markets and the bookies there just trying to get the money even, and I wouldn't count on much yet other than it being a late night.
The only big winner so far has been my laundry pile. I started at 8, and am now finishing the third load. It's been massively therapeutic. I'm debating doing the bedsheets, but I may be too messed up at 12:30 to handle a fitted sheet.
I don’t think we’ll know tonight, but it isn’t trending in the right direction for her so the betting markets make sense. She’s running 2%-3% behind Biden in the states that matter and there’s no “well Trump said not to vote by mail so all of the mail votes are 80% Democrat” comeback narrative. All she can hope for are the long lines in urban precincts and a decent enough split in the vote by mail.
I currently put T around 90%, but it feels early for a victory speech to me.
He fucking did it let’s go
Financeabc is weeping right now
We did it Isaiah, god bless America!
So amazing. So relieved.
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