It seems like we all do quite a bit of predicting things on WSO. Let's throw out the stuff we are qualified to predict like Markets, Financial Transactions, Etc. I want to know...how did we do a year ago on predicting things we probably have no business guessing about.
On 4/4/2013 @"blastoise" posted this: North Korea? And very simply asked:
What is the probability there will be a War in this upcoming week?
Then proceeded to ask about shorting currencies.
So...how did we do?
Out of 10 responses no one said "Yes, there will be a war this week." This means that NONE of you could possible hack it on network tv as any sort of analyst. All that hedging won't get you on TV.
Only @"CivilServant" even got close:
CivilServantI have to say, I'm starting to get worried that this guy may be just stupid enough to cause a major incident. At this point judgement is everything ( ie how do both sides save face while winding down tensions?), and I'm not sure his is sound.
Honorable mention goes to @"jmoney2405" for basically saying "North Korea has the ability but probably won't...but he might."
Troll of the post goes to @"Amphipathic" for trying to start a war satirically in Iran:
AmphipathicFor those of you keeping score:
NK has nuclear weapons, has long-range missiles, and has shown extreme willingness to nuke US.
Iran may be capable of making nuclear weapons in several years, doesn't have long-range missiles, and insists its nuclear program is peaceful.
Let's ignore NK and prepare for war with Iran!
Verdict: We got it mostly correct. No war with North Korea the week immediately following 4/4/2013. (Nor was there a war with North Korea at all in the last year.)
Fun Game or Not? Silver Bananas for Yes, Monkey Shit for No.
Labore est illum quis est voluptatibus. Ut non velit ipsa omnis voluptate quia iusto. Sed voluptatibus voluptatem aut animi et inventore dignissimos. Eos nostrum doloremque optio exercitationem architecto voluptas. Corrupti aut distinctio eveniet enim.
Officiis qui repellat ut eveniet atque libero voluptatum beatae. Consectetur eligendi maiores occaecati qui qui non nam. A et neque quo et nostrum consequatur. Recusandae totam porro repellendus pariatur nihil officiis. Quaerat dolorem qui quo ratione iure non ex suscipit.
See All Comments - 100% Free
WSO depends on everyone being able to pitch in when they know something. Unlock with your email and get bonus: 6 financial modeling lessons free ($199 value)
or Unlock with your social account...