39 Comments
 

I bet you can guess what I'm going to say. 

"If you don't have any enemies in life you have never stood up for anything" - Winston Churchill | "It's a testament to the sheer belligerence of the profession that people would rather argue about the 'risk-adjusted returns' of using inferior tooth cleaning methods." - kellycriterion
 
BuyLowSellLower

I know a lot of people on here use TQQQ…

haha this was my first thought that people would say TQQQ.... 

"If you always put limits on everything you do, physical or anything else, it will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them." - Bruce Lee
 

Buying TQQQ right now is genuinely one of the dumbest moves I can imagine. There might be a small rally, but we will be notably lower before the EOY unless there's a significant shift in Fed policy (which will only drag out the inevitable and make it that much worse when we do crash). 

"If you don't have any enemies in life you have never stood up for anything" - Winston Churchill | "It's a testament to the sheer belligerence of the profession that people would rather argue about the 'risk-adjusted returns' of using inferior tooth cleaning methods." - kellycriterion
 

Oh ok - why do you like BBBY?

"If you always put limits on everything you do, physical or anything else, it will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them." - Bruce Lee
 

Short Gold (biggest play of the century I think), food inflation plays (L/S wheat short term futures), 50% cash in fixed deposits, deep value stocks, SPY long dated puts, only buy houses that i want to stay in, distressed debt, wine.

 
halo5guardians

Short Gold (biggest play of the century I think)

how long term are you thinking with this one?

Quant (ˈkwänt) n: An expert, someone who knows more and more about less and less until they know everything about nothing.
 

I think this is the worst time to be long any metal. In a slowing economy, demand for metals goes down due to lower economic activity. Be it construction or EV cars. Steel is the worst at the moment. I don't understand why you would want to long metals. 

 
hyfrrrrr

If you guys had $1M to invest in todays environment, where would you put it? Stocks, bonds, real estate, alts, etc?

A very short-term play is the UK hospitality/tourism sector. Virtually every single country on earth (including countries you have never heard of like Tuvalu or Saint Kitts and Nevis) is going to have their heads of states and other dignitaries (and their associated staff, security, etc.) descend upon England for the Queen's funeral. Factor in some of the hoi polloi from abroad who are not even invited to the funeral (but want to be in London to take in the sights and sounds while the excitement is going on), and that means practically every hotel room in the greater London area is going to be booked and ancillary spending will be well above average for this time of year.

 

Say fuck it and throw $100K in MTUM, $400K in cash for trading, $500K I'm saving for RE or/while putting in bonds 

 
Most Helpful

If you are NOT buying TQQQ right now you are going to miss out on some potentially life changing money in my opinion. People can talk about fed policy, macro turmoil, regulation, etc. but that’s all just noise and the same shit everyone says whenever there is a pullback in equities. Doom and gloom everywhere, and honestly its about time we get a nice buying opportunity so I’m completely here for it. There are very few instances where TQQQ (when backtested against QQQ - more historic data to work with) has declined 75% and presented an entry point like this, and it honestly seems like in the near term it will only get cheaper.

I have been plowing money in over the past few weeks and will continue to do so until I run out of cash reserves in my PA. Then I’ll probably put my bonus in it too when I get that lol. Can anyone reasonably believe that in 10 years TQQQ will be lower than it is now? Absolutely not. I wouldn’t be surprised if it is 10x what is now. These are the biggest, most well capitalized, and well positioned tech companies. Tech is the future and will continue to evolve. The US dollar relative to other currencies is strong. I think it will be just fine. Would love to hear any counterpoints.

 

I agree with your long-term view, but TQQQ is going significantly lower before it goes up. In 2020 it got as low as $12 ($21ish right now). Obviously this is a very simplistic way to look at things, but we're not in full bear-market mode yet. I would average-down slowly

 

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