Will Yellen Calm the Waters?

So now the cat's out of the bag and we know that Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Janet Yellen will be the next Fed chief. Overall, this looks like a win for the markets, if for no other reason than it signals continuity in Fed policy going forward (for better or worse). She'll likely toe the Bernanke line, and she won't face the acrimonious nomination procedure that a Larry Summers or Tim Geithner would have. There's the added political bonus that she'll be the first female Fed chief in history. Overall, she checks a lot of boxes. But is she the best choice?

16 Comments
 

Paraphrased: "it is time to move away from the conservative role of the Fed to preserve the country from inflation and towards fighting unemployment"

or in other words: "we be printin', you be runnin'"

So glad to be living in Singapore right now. Well, y'all voted for these guys, time to reap what you sowed.

 
EURCHF parity

or in other words: "we be printin', you be runnin'"

"For all the tribulations in our lives, for all the troubles that remain in the world, the decline of violence is an accomplishment we can savor, and an impetus to cherish the forces of civilization and enlightenment that made it possible."
 

Spot on. I'm jelly, bro.

"You stop being an asshole when it sucks to be you." -IlliniProgrammer "Your grammar made me wish I'd been aborted." -happypantsmcgee
 

It depends on what the happens to the velocity of money. Does it look like the banks have a liquidity fetish? I will keep you posted if I find more good stats.

Excess Reserves of Depository Institutions (Through 5/1/2013): http://research.stlouisfed.org/fredgraph.png?g=ncM

"He that hath a beard is more than a youth, and he that hath no beard is less than a man." ― William Shakespeare, Much Ado About Nothing
 
Best Response
Punchey

I view this as more or less inconsequential. If QE proves to be as devestating as the Peter Schiff and Ron Paul acoloytes on this site prophecize it will be (which it has shown no signs of being whatsoever), the damage would have already been done by the c. 3-4 trillion already spent by Big Ben.

My standard of living per $ in Singapore is probably 3-5x higher than anywhere in the US. It's already happened. You don't see it because the change is gradual and you think it's normal, and the things most impacted like security, health and taxes come in lumps Poisson style giving you little in the way of personal comparison data.

That's where Schiff & co get it wrong, I think. A lot of what they think and talk about has been priced in, or happens slowly and gradually - more so than investors would be comfortable with.

One place where the US is lucky is not to have a demographic bomb, like many European countries whose welfare class, thanks to generous child benefits, is rapidly expanding and "locking in" politics by sheer numbers. Which was of course the idea.

 

45k in debt is easily repayable? That probably depends.

Nothing to see here. All the money printers keep telling us that because the shit hasn't hit the fan, it never will. So keep printin', I guess.

I'm not completely against her willingness to trade inflation for jobs if that's the trade off, my worry is people who think these policies have no consequence if we continue doen this path.No better or worse in my mind than cutting taxes indefinitely and expecting higher revenues.

 

you had already arrived at that opinion long before she was elected to the position yellen is more than capable of doing the job- no less so than bernanke

I'm not concerned with the very poor -Mitt Romney
 

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