Lateral An1 BB > An2 UMM PE?

Currently debating whether it makes sense to lateral from a BB to an UMM PE fund for my 2nd year as an Analyst. My goal is to stay in PE but am afraid lateraling as a 2nd yr analyst might not guarantee me an Associate spot, making it tough to re-recruit for a '24 Associate role. My alternative is to wait it out at my BB out and recruit for a '24 Associate role in the coming months and drop this offer. Any advice is much appreciated, thank :) !

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