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This side of the fence will move very slowly to meet increases I think. You have a lot of ancient boomers who just sit there and do nothing while accruing all the benefit to themselves. They won't move until they start seeing pain, and that pain won't come until all their mid level folks experience pain because they can't get junior support. It will take a full recruiting cycle at least, where far fewer people are choosing to leave banking for PE/PC. It's also far more fragmented than IB or Big Law where all the firms move in lock-step. Maybe I'm wrong, but I have these arguments every day with senior guys about how we need to make sure junior staff is happy so they don't leave. Most of the time it falls on deaf ears. When the junior depth collapses and I literally have to do everything myself...I might just leave too.
Ares analysts bumped to $110k base and associates bumped to $150k base. I work at Ares.