Drive Off Cliff for Bonus? Or leave money on the table for a new job...

So, I've been working for GC's the last 6 years and have been trying to get over to the development side the last year in a development associate or related role. Last 2 years have been for an Owner Builder developer on the construction side.

I'm coming to the close of a 2 year project and I'm looking at a potential bonus in a $30k range POSSIBLY but uncertain due to being behind schedule and overbudget on current project.  We've lost a lot of work, so I'm not sure I will be able to stay with the company unless I move to a different city.

I'm interviewing for a position as a development project manager at a pure developer that isn't owner builder and does all 3rd party GC.

I'm excited for the role but feel that I might have to take a pay cut to get over to the other side and potentially leave my bonus on the table.  (right now make about $140k base all in, already looking at construction roles that could pay more but long commutes, bad WLB, not the career track I want to be on)

Should I leave for the money or wait it out and see if I can get the bonus?

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It would be in the next 2 months for half and another few months for the other half. But the new company would be trying to hire before that. Buyout idea I like...

 
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