26 Comments
 

Sure, they're stock price has taken a big hit, but I'd think it's a solid place to get acq experience since they're probably one of the few owners that can secure financing rn for office . Practically no liquidity in the office lending marketplace

I think office acquisitions are the last thing in their mind right now.....they are more concerned about the precarious position of their mezz book and potentially trying to configure a way how to effectively launch a stock repurchase program. 

 

SLG isn't a typical office reit. Those guys think differently. They aren't going away any time soon - there are no redemptions for public reits. If anything, they will take the company private. Maybe this whole multi-year leverage and buyback plan was a scam to take the company private at a lower basis. Who knows. Unless you have better options, they are one of the few places doing interesting things. They don't have a mandate from the market to do them, but they could care less and just do what they want. I'd say take it. 

 

I’m hijacking this thread. At first glance Vornado has a market cap of 2.8bn, and is trading around $15 bucks a share. They own roughly 26 million SF of real estate, prime real estate. At that price it would be investing in prime real estate for a little over $100 PSF basis. Why are we not buying all of their stock? I personally would love to buy blocks of shares in the REIT. Convince me otherwise

 
Most Helpful

C.R.E. Shervin

I'm hijacking this thread. At first glance Vornado has a market cap of 2.8bn, and is trading around $15 bucks a share. They own roughly 26 million SF of real estate, prime real estate. At that price it would be investing in prime real estate for a little over $100 PSF basis. Why are we not buying all of their stock? I personally would love to buy blocks of shares in the REIT. Convince me otherwise

Are you implying that the $9bn worth of debt currently outstanding just goes away?

 

I wrote a longer response that didn't make it through, but I will give you 3 problems I have with VNO. I say this as someone who's been stuck in that value trap for too long. Keep in mind people were buying at $65 a share in 2017 with the idea that it was a 6.5% cap...

1) Simplification strategy hasn't worked - did urban edge and JBGS spins, but it still isn't a straight NYC office story with the Mart, 555 California, and all the high st retail. Still complicated and they don't provide guidance

2) After years of pumping up the Penn Station dev project, they announce it - calling it PENN15 - and then say they are going to put the dev in a tracking stock. While investors still would get shares of the tracking stock, the idea of separating your highest upside project and leaving the rest of the assets in VNO was questionable, at best.

3) They just stopped paying their dividend

 
C.R.E. Shervin

I'm hijacking this thread. At first glance Vornado has a market cap of 2.8bn, and is trading around $15 bucks a share. They own roughly 26 million SF of real estate, prime real estate. At that price it would be investing in prime real estate for a little over $100 PSF basis. Why are we not buying all of their stock? I personally would love to buy blocks of shares in the REIT. Convince me otherwise

Total SF Owned: 26mm * ($454psf Implied Value of RE) = 11.8bn valuation of current real estate holdings. 

11.8bn less net debt of $9bn is $2.8bn NAV / 186mm Outstanding Shares brings you to current share price of $15 / share.

In no way is the current share price implying a "$100 PSF basis" and this post should be edited as it's currently marked most helpful but ignores all debt the company holds.  No idea who's upvoting this.

 

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