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I really doubt many people here are going to be able to give a great response to this question as really it is dependent on large macro elements in my opinion. But I am hoping for as soon as possible.
Most of the companies I’m interviewing with are in no rush. I would agree with the other poster, likely Q2ish next year when the markets are more adjusted.
By best guest is Q1 or Q2
later half of Q2 - Q3 sounds like a good bet (when Fed is expecting to cut rates).
I am going to say it even though nobody has. I think 2024 will continue be the year of layoffs and reductions. I dont think hiring picks up until 2025. My belief is we are in a prolonged CRE recession.
How would you play this situation as an undergrad looking to break into the market in next 3-6 months
Get whatever job in whatever industry you can. Work 2-4 years, if you still want to be in real estate get an mba and then try to break in.
I agree. Survive till '25 is for everyone.
I was starting to see an uptick in roles being posted. However there are still hundreds of applicants for each role and i am not seeing competitive pay (nyc based roles). I was hoping for hiring to pick up early next year, however inflation is looking to be quite sticky. The fed may signal more rate increases, which will likely cause another pull back in hiring.
No one here knows the answer to this question lol
My guess is it might be a while though. Oak tree put out a good prediction regarding a fundamental change to investing that could have some legs to it
- if anything in here is true it could be years before this sorts itself out.
Like I said I have no idea what’s happening right now but it’s hard not to think investing might be a little different going forward in the near term.
https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/further-thoughts-on-sea-ch….
Everyone should read that ^ thank you for sharing
Heard companies are making decisions for next year now/to late November. That's either a January start or mid year start from what I've seen.
Seems next year when people get bonuses and make moves at the junior level will help as well.
I think owners know now if they need capital and could make reductions this year. I don't know why they'd wait until mid next year, a lot of firms have already seen values drop on office and the multi side and are figuring out solutions. Companies have been going under and that will continue, but many owners will need help and there are one's with capital as well. Not so doom and gloom survive until 25, we've been in this for over a year and transactions need to happen as some point to get things moving. Even in 08 there wasn't a 2.5 year time to recovery, you're seeing the bid/ask spread tighten and deals are closer to being made and that's now from the last year as well.
Recent grad and am extremely nervous about this. Currently in 0 interview processes but very actively networking.
Thanks for this. Were you networking in just one market? I recently just passed on a D/E opportunity at a large shop because it was in a T3 city that was away from home. I’m starting to think that it was a terrible mistake.
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