Input needed - No idea where I could place

Apparently MBA apps are down 15-20%. Curious what programs I could realistically expect to land right now. I haven't really considered MBA before, so I'm a bit out of the loop as to what to expect in terms of placement.
Profile:
- Bottom half BB IB
- Semi Target UG (think Notre Dame / Emory)
- > 3.9/4.0 UG GPA
- Heading to well-known MM PE (well-known but solidly MM)
- No GMAT but would expect to hit 90+ percentile
- Neutral to negative demographics (First gen but white male)

There's also two universes: one in which I just apply and one in which I sweat my balls off with coaching / interview prep / etc

Really appreciate any input my monkeys - I am very new to this universe

 

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