Currency movements - Question

Hi guys,

to what extent is one exchange rate able to influence another? For example - very loosely - how would an appreciation of the USD relative to one currency (say, USD/AUD) affect a completely separate rate such as USD/EUR rate - if anything? And does an appreciation of the USD also affect non-related rates such as EUR/JPY or AUD/NZD etc? I use the USD here as an example but am more curious about the big picture idea.

Thanks heaps.

4 Comments
 

That's not necessarily true. Recently, when markets are avoiding risk, in general the Dollar would rally against most currencies, but fall against the Yen. A lot of it has to do with risk-tolerance, the carry trade (interest rates), volatility, economic conditions, etc. There is no hard and fast rule.

The only certain relationship is between 3 currency pairs like so:

EUR/USD, USD/JPY, EUR/JPY

Because you can synthetically create all the pairs, ie form EUR/JPY by Long EUR/USD, Long USD/JPY.

Jack: They’re all former investment bankers who were laid off from that economic crisis that Nancy Pelosi caused. They have zero real world skills, but God they work hard. -30 Rock
 

In theory exchange rates are going to be determined by a combination of purchasing power parity, covered interest rate parity and speculative demand. But to actually see the effect you are asking about you should look at the EER (effective exchange rate) which looks at a weighted average exchange rate for a country using a basket of other currencies. That shows you if it is moving up or down relative to all other currencies.

 

Architecto voluptatem tempore id pariatur. Ea maiores itaque enim quia sed delectus est non. Quo voluptatum et asperiores tempora quaerat ut velit velit. Eligendi soluta cumque labore odit eveniet ea amet autem.

Career Advancement Opportunities

August 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.5%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.9%
  • JPMorgan 01 98.4%
  • Morgan Stanley 08 97.8%
  • Goldman Sachs 02 97.3%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

August 2026 Investment Banking

  • Moelis & Company No 99.5%
  • Evercore No 98.9%
  • Morgan Stanley 01 98.4%
  • Banco Santander 02 97.8%
  • BMO Capital Markets 12 97.3%

Professional Growth Opportunities

August 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.5%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.9%
  • Morgan Stanley 06 98.4%
  • Goldman Sachs 01 97.8%
  • JPMorgan No 97.3%

Total Avg Compensation

August 2026 Investment Banking

  • Vice President (16) $429
  • Associates (50) $259
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (8) $210
  • 2nd Year Analyst (25) $178
  • Intern/Summer Associate (14) $159
  • 1st Year Analyst (84) $151
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (75) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
3
kanon's picture
kanon
99.0
4
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
5
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
98.9
6
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
7
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
8
DrApeman's picture
DrApeman
98.9
9
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
10
Linda Abraham's picture
Linda Abraham
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”