7 Comments
 

Problem: find approx % change in bond price given that bond is a 2 yr zero coupon bond and change in yield is -20 bps

Solution:

let s = change in yield = -20 bps = -0.002

let PV(i) = (1+i)^-2 -> PV'(i) = -2(1+i)^-3 -> PV'(i) / PV(i) = -2(1+i)^-1

[ PV(i+s) - PV(i) ] / s ~= PV'(i) (for small s)

[ PV(i+s) - PV(i) ] / PV(i) ~= sPV'(i)/PV(i) = -2s(1+i)^-1 ~= -2s (for small i)

Thus since s = -0.002, the bond price should go up by 40 bps (approx).

 

To summarize the above:

Duration = 2, since it's a zero coupon

Modified Duration = 2 / (1+i) ~= 2 for small i

So % change in price ~= +2 * 20bp = 40 bp

To get more technical, you'd have to know what i is - are we talking govt's or junk bonds? And you could factor in convexity, which will be positive since it's (presumably) a vanilla-type bond, i.e. 40 bp is underestimating the actual change. In an interview you may mention any/all of these points, but there's no need to calculate anything beyond saying approx. 40 bp increase in price.

 

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