inflation derivatives

Anyone have experience trading inflation products? Seems to be a newer part of the market, so I'd imagine there be a decent amount of money to be made exploiting inefficiencies. What would a typical trade look like?

Need to brush up on my fixed income...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation_derivative http://inflationinfo.com/

19 Comments
 

Which inflation figures are generally used? Could you make money in that market if you have strong fundamentals or only strong technical skills? The inflation figures are geometrically and hedonically altered models put out by the BLS/Fed.

 

Right but there's different CPI's such as core CPI and regular CPI. Also the Fed is creating a new CPI which reads lower unit amounts than previous CPI methodologies. That would be great if someone with some experience can shed some light on our questions? Thanks.

 
itillc123Right but there's different CPI's such as core CPI and regular CPI. Also the Fed is creating a new CPI which reads lower unit amounts than previous CPI methodologies. That would be great if someone with some experience can shed some light on our questions? Thanks.

There is no such thing as core CPI or regular CPI, CPI is just headline inflation. You're thinking about core inflation which is not CPI at all, but rather PCE personal consumption expenditures price index, which is what the Fed uses in its mandate targets.

 
Best Response
za3212
itillc123Right but there's different CPI's such as core CPI and regular CPI. Also the Fed is creating a new CPI which reads lower unit amounts than previous CPI methodologies. That would be great if someone with some experience can shed some light on our questions? Thanks.

There is no such thing as core CPI or regular CPI, CPI is just headline inflation. You're thinking about core inflation which is not CPI at all, but rather PCE personal consumption expenditures price index, which is what the Fed uses in its mandate targets.

you have posted so many incorrect things in this thread. its absolutely amazing. Core CPI: CPI excluding food and energy items. headline CPI: overall consumer price index. The PCE is a completely different index than CPI, and is computed differently.

http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/trends/2010/1110/01infpri.cfm

http://seekingalpha.com/article/276907-cpi-and-pce-two-measures-of-infl…

 
BernankeyOP are you serious?

TIPs is the only direct "inflation derivative" in the US.

An Inflation ETF would be pretty cool if someone made it.

Yes I am serious. What the fuck are you talking about? TIPs are not derivatives. Examples of inflation derivatives in the US are inflation swaps, caps, floors. And there are already TIPS ETFs.

 
za3212
BernankeyOP are you serious?

TIPs is the only direct "inflation derivative" in the US.

An Inflation ETF would be pretty cool if someone made it.

Yes I am serious. What the fuck are you talking about? TIPs are not derivatives. Examples of inflation derivatives in the US are inflation swaps, caps, floors. And there are already TIPS ETFs.

You should probably read sentence number two of your link, before telling me "TIPS" are not "inflation derivatives".

 

It is a quiet part of the rates market. most shops have 1-4 guys in the space. You're unlikely to make big money in the space, but it will certainly keep you employed. Per head pnl is prob 3-10mm on most desks.

 

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