US Bonds

I am long far out on the curve in my PA as the string of terrible economic stats and short-term growth gauges have been terrible and I think it would be totally crazy for the fed to tighten as quickly as is currently priced into the eurodollar curve.

I also believe that it seems like everyone hates bonds right now and lots of notable big names are even short (Gross, et al.) which makes me even more likely to get on the other side of that trade and to potentially even expect a short squeeze.

A month or so ago, I was worried about QE2 rolling off and the impact of the Fed no longer buying all of the treasury's issuance, and now I think there is an increasing likelihood that there will be a 3rd round of QE. Its hard for me to tell but it also seems like markets have priced this in the past month or so with a rally in bonds, fall in the dollar, fall in commodities (but flat for precious metals), and not too large of a stock sell-off which could corroborate expectations of a huge wave of liquidity that would be bullish for stocks.

Any thoughts? Very interested to hear opinions from sell-side traders.

1 Comments
 

Voluptatem tempore id voluptate maxime et. Voluptas voluptatem explicabo omnis. Consectetur repellendus adipisci fugit et minima delectus.

Jack: They’re all former investment bankers who were laid off from that economic crisis that Nancy Pelosi caused. They have zero real world skills, but God they work hard. -30 Rock

Career Advancement Opportunities

October 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.5%
  • Moelis & Company 01 99.0%
  • JPMorgan 01 98.4%
  • Guggenheim Partners 02 97.9%
  • Morgan Stanley 06 97.4%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

October 2026 Investment Banking

  • Moelis & Company No 99.5%
  • Morgan Stanley 02 99.0%
  • Evercore 01 98.4%
  • Banco Santander 02 97.9%
  • BMO Capital Markets 13 97.4%

Professional Growth Opportunities

October 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.5%
  • Moelis & Company 01 99.0%
  • Morgan Stanley 05 98.4%
  • Goldman Sachs 01 97.9%
  • JPMorgan No 97.4%

Total Avg Compensation

October 2026 Investment Banking

  • Vice President (16) $429
  • Associates (57) $264
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (8) $210
  • 2nd Year Analyst (28) $184
  • Intern/Summer Associate (16) $161
  • 1st Year Analyst (84) $151
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (76) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
3
kanon's picture
kanon
99.0
4
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
5
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
98.9
6
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
7
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
8
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
9
DrApeman's picture
DrApeman
98.9
10
Mimbs's picture
Mimbs
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”