watdo:

For the historical period you use taxes reported on the company's income statement. This corresponds to the company's effective tax rate (what they actually paid). For the projection period you use the company's marginal rate (what they should pay without deductions, credits, etc.)

sounds reasonable, though by looking at cash flow statement I figured that company didn't pay its "income statement taxes", they deferred some portion of it into the future. So the question is, should I still put taxes that they should have paid, or should I account for deferral and then make a corrresponding entry in my projection (i.e. year where they will have to pay those deferred taxes).

Thanks a lot

 
watdo:

For the historical period you use taxes reported on the company's income statement. This corresponds to the company's effective tax rate (what they actually paid). For the projection period you use the company's marginal rate (what they should pay without deductions, credits, etc.)

Effective tax rate should be used, with deductions/credits/incentives modelled in where possible. Statutory tax rate if you don't have the necessary information or you don't need to go into too much detail. Marginal tax rate has the potential to significantly overstate taxes in progressive corporate tax regimes.

 
Angus Macgyver:
watdo:

For the historical period you use taxes reported on the company's income statement. This corresponds to the company's effective tax rate (what they actually paid). For the projection period you use the company's marginal rate (what they should pay without deductions, credits, etc.)

Effective tax rate should be used, with deductions/credits/incentives modelled in where possible. Statutory tax rate if you don't have the necessary information or you don't need to go into too much detail. Marginal tax rate has the potential to significantly overstate taxes in progressive corporate tax regimes.

Pretty sure you'd be double counting if you did that

 
Best Response
HarvardOrBust:
Angus Macgyver:
watdo:

For the historical period you use taxes reported on the company's income statement. This corresponds to the company's effective tax rate (what they actually paid). For the projection period you use the company's marginal rate (what they should pay without deductions, credits, etc.)

Effective tax rate should be used, with deductions/credits/incentives modelled in where possible. Statutory tax rate if you don't have the necessary information or you don't need to go into too much detail. Marginal tax rate has the potential to significantly overstate taxes in progressive corporate tax regimes.

Pretty sure you'd be double counting if you did that

After some research - I think you're right. Where I am and with the type of firm I deal with, effective tax rates are modelled, but best practice seems to be using the marginal rate.

Not that anyone ever believes the DCF, anyway...

 

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