My TLT short call

I have decided I will keep my by blastoise O (King Kong, 1109 Points) on 9/29/10 at 8:06pm I have decided I will keep my eyes on TLT and my short button

by Bondarb HF (Gorilla, 721 Points) on 9/29/10 at 8:59pm haha...."its obvious"...right...

by LIBOR EN (Senior Gorilla, 986 Points) on 10/15/10 at 12:22am why would you say that rates are going to go up when the fed is discussing QE2? take a look at Japan for the last twenty years... they thought rates would eventually go up there and they have been stuck

Coming Soon - Appleheadz

squirtlez wrote: the federal by Gekko21 ST (King Kong, 1395 Points) on 10/15/10 at 5:48pm squirtlez wrote: the federal reserve can only do so much buying before hyperinflation happens face it treasury yields are going up up up

The market can stay irrational far longer than you can stay solvent.

squirtlez wrote: Gekko21 by Gekko21 ST (King Kong, 1395 Points) on 10/15/10 at 6:47pm squirtlez wrote: Gekko21 wrote: squirtlez wrote: the federal reserve can only do so much buying before hyperinflation happens face it treasury yields are going up up up

The market can stay irrational far longer than you can stay solvent.

what do you mean look at what happend to yield on the debt it is costing the govt more and more on its debt only a matter of time till yields go up big time regardless of where rates it i mean come on even if it is just the fed buying the bills it isn't enough to sustain the current yield levels

I really don't feel like debating this, but I will add that it is not just the government buying treasuries, it is the PERCEPTION that they are buying treasuries that will entice other buyers to buy more treasuries.

"Greed, in all of its forms; greed for life, for money, for love, for knowledge has marked the upward surge of mankind. And greed, you mark my words, will not only save Teldar Paper, but that other malfunctioning corporation called the USA."

I wouldn't be short by cbjohn1 (Senior Chimp, 18 Points) on 10/17/10 at 6:44pm I wouldn't be short treasuries right now. Hyperinflation is a possible scenario but I don't think its likely. In order for it to happen there would have to be a massive dumping of treasuries and there just isn't any will to do that politically, no matter how much China huffs and puffs. China can accept that their currency will appreciate and gain marginal demand internally or they can screw everyone and wreck the dollar completely. Its going to suck for them regardless but the party fears 1.3 billion unemployed workers much more than it fears an appreciating remnibi.

If you trade with absolute conviction of anything you'll lose a lot of money. Keep your thinking flexible and don't get married to your position.

gekko hella wrong ~~~WAAAY WRONG cbjohn1 wrong~~~ metalmoss wrong~~ libor wrong ~~ WAAAY WRONG

squirtlesz/balbasur/blastoise right