Valuing a hybrid Consumer/Financials Company

I am trying to value a company that does consumer financing on retail products. They have a lot of A/R and negative cash flow. When I do a DCF, the company has negative FCF mostly because of their extremely high A/R, which causes an increase in working capital. This negative change in working capital is greater than their tax-effected EBIT and is the reason for their negative cash flow. How do I do a DCF for this company when the PV of its future cash flows and terminal value are both negative and the company does not have much cash and has some LT debt (LT Debt is much greater than cash).

I am assuming you would model this similarly to a financials company that has a lot of loans outstanding. Can someone please advise me on how I can proceed with this DCF or if there are any alternatives? Thank you.

 
Best Response

I'm not a FIG guy, but you can't use a traditional DCF for a financial services company. The main reason is that for a financial services company, debt is used for both borrowing and lending, so the treatment is different than a normal company. For example, a large portion of cash flow is in the form of interest payments, so using your EBIT method would be wrong

The correct valuation method should be a dividend discount model. This thread does a good job of explaining: //www.wallstreetoasis.com/forums/why-would-you-not-use-a-dcf-for-financia…

 

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