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i think it could be possible to run an exclusively post announcement merger arb book quantitatively, just immediately enter the same long/short trade on every public company merger announced in equity markets worldwide, should be sufficiently large sample to collect the spread 51% of the time and eke out fairly regular gains, lever that up and you prob have hsd returns 

ofc you are selling insurance/most of the alpha is probably in managing execution and borrowing costs etc. 

also - q of when you exit trade (wait till consummation or sell after x% gain?)/how fast you can execute post announcement 

wouldnt be surprised if the large platforms or quant funds have something like this on in a sophisticated way 

 
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i think it could be possible to run an exclusively post announcement merger arb book quantitatively, just immediately enter the same long/short trade on every public company merger announced in equity markets worldwide, should be sufficiently large sample to collect the spread 51% of the time and eke out fairly regular gains, lever that up and you prob have hsd returns 

ofc you are selling insurance/most of the alpha is probably in managing execution and borrowing costs etc. 

also - q of when you exit trade (wait till consummation or sell after x% gain?)/how fast you can execute post announcement 

wouldnt be surprised if the large platforms or quant funds have something like this on in a sophisticated way 

A deal failing is all it takes to burn your returns. I’m sure there are a few a year. 

 

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