Why do Tiger Cubs focus on Tech and Consumer Discretionary stocks so much?
I read a deep-dive analysis on Tiger Cub HFs from a few years ago that showed that over the years they have had the most exposure to Consumer Discretionary stocks and have generated the most alpha from Technology stocks.
As a generalist trying to develop sector-specific expertise and recruit for HF/IM, would it be good for me to focus on these two sectors as well, or is it a bad thing, considering the saturation of active investors in these sectors?
And a side question - how is the media sector for alpha-generation? It's a sector that I find interesting but I was wondering if it makes sense for me to choose it as a sector of focus personally.
My two cents:
The one thing I'll say against consumer discretionary is that this sector in particular has gotten incredibly competitive. Alternative data is widely deployed for these companies, making the earnings release broadly known ahead of time to the institutional investing community. The multi-manager pods have jumped all over this, as well as the quants. Moreover, I've also found there to be a lack of controversial ideas in the space. It's broadly viewed right now that discount retailers are longs and department stores are shorts. It's also widely known that CMG and WING are absolutely crushing it right now, for example. This creates all kinds of odd trading dynamics. Investing in this sector certainly feels like a bit of a race to the bottom in terms of trying to gauge sentiment of the management team, sell-side, other buy-side, etc.