How much money do I need?
Has anyone built a long term financial model that plans out their entire lives and determines exactly how much money the need/want to guide their careers? I’m trying to model Income, expenses, savings & net worth year-by-year. Also, Capital needs for big goals (early retirement, kids’ college, home purchases). I also want to add scenarios for different tax regimes and when to realize LTCG/STCT and incorporate strategies to minimize taxes through various tax advantaged structure. I also want to stress test against various life events like illness, lawsuit, divorce, deep market crashes, or other disasters.
Questions:
Has anyone built a model like this end-to-end?
How did you layer in tax calculations and tax-optimization tactics?
What frameworks or rules did you use to decide when to rebalance, realize gains/losses, or shift allocations?
Do you have templates, or example workbooks you’d be willing to share?
What pitfalls should I watch out for when combining extreme scenarios, taxes and portfolio-trigger logic?
Based on the most helpful WSO content, here’s what you need to know about building a comprehensive long-term financial model:
Has anyone built a model like this end-to-end?
How did you layer in tax calculations and tax-optimization tactics?
What frameworks or rules did you use to decide when to rebalance, realize gains/losses, or shift allocations?
Do you have templates, or example workbooks you’d be willing to share?
What pitfalls should I watch out for when combining extreme scenarios, taxes, and portfolio-trigger logic?
For a more detailed guide, you might find it helpful to explore the WSO forums on personal financial modeling and budgeting. They offer insights from professionals who’ve successfully navigated similar challenges.
Sources: Managing Your Money - Building a Personal Financial Model, Managing Your Money - Building a Personal Financial Model, Work to live, not live to work. Low-stress finance jobs..., Cheat sheet to understand ‘Stress Test’ Results, How much have you saved?
I think you’re overcomplicating it. Look at some retirement calculators based on how much you have saved, monthly savings, return, etc. Some are very simple (Dave Ramsey calc) others are more complex (Fidelity tool). If using Ramsey, model 10% as base and 5% as downside. If using Fidelity, it will run these scenarios for you. Theirs is pretty comprehensive
You think if I had $20M I could just quit my job and live well for the rest of my life.
Look up FIRE retirement theory
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