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From bankers I work with I wouldn't be surprised if there are more layoffs across banking. People are more optimistic about the future but not really seeing a strong recovery in deal flow yet. Since these IB are driven by fee revenue, there needs to be deals to bring in revenue. Banks don't want to lay off a ton of people just to have to rehire them in a year or so, but they can't hold onto everyone indefinitely while fees are drying up. I'd expect another round of layoffs by the end of this year unless we see a large uptick in deal flow across the industry. 

 

who do you think is going to get cut? do you think analysts will be cut? 

 

No sense on what level would take the hit. They don't contribute to generating revenues directly, but they are the ones that do the grunt work on deals. Banks need grunt work since that's the fodder that feeds the machine, but if a VP or MD type are the ones that are bringing in the deals, they wouldn't be the ones to be laid off

 

Wouldn’t make sense to lay ppl off given there is real work taking place on current mandates in the pipeline and new ones that were just signed.

 

Do you think it will go higher or are manadates actually that high right now as people are saying

 

Do you think it will go higher or are mandates actually that high right now as people are saying

 

Do you think it will go higher or are mandates actually that high right now as people are saying

 

Do you think it will go higher or are mandates actually that high right now as people are saying

 

Do you think it will go higher or are mandates actually that high right now as people are saying

 

Do you think it will go higher or are mandates actually that high right now as people are saying

 

Mandates in the pipeline or signed mandate =/= deals closing and fees realized.

It's a hell of a lot harder for companies to justify deal economics at current interest rates, but they will happily retain a bank for free to have someone searching for deals just in case. Even when interest rates were at 0 and market was on fire, the signed mandate -> closed deal rate was incredibly low... 

 

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