Fiber (FTTH) DCF Modelling Help

Hi!

I've been tasked with creating a DCF for a fiber rollout across 5 cities. Clearly the initial capex is high and is creating a lot of negative FCFs and consequently a negative EV?

How long should my forecast be? Should I still be doing a terminal value or just a very long 20+ year utility like forecast?

Thanks so much!  

 

Thank you I dragged it out to the right and as you said payback is way off that 5-7 horizon. The only thing getting it to look reasonable is substantially decreasing the cost to pass a home or loading it up with debt...

 

Often times they’re financed 100% by debt - that being said - there’s also a reason fiber isn’t everywhere. It’s fucking expensive. If the cost per home doesn’t work then it doesn’t work and there’s a reason providers haven’t built out to that area yet 

 

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