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Based on the WSO content, the financial modeling training courses include discussions on earnouts, particularly in the context of M&A scenarios. The courses are designed to help students and investment banking professionals understand complex deal structures, including those involving earnouts. These models often feature flexible toggles based on year, size of acquisition, and model out a representative acquisition target which flows into the model in a waterfall structure. This is treated as an asset acquisition for simplification in the balance sheet impact.

For a more detailed and hands-on approach, you might consider accessing the WSO Free Modeling Series, which includes financial modeling lessons and templates. This resource could provide you with the necessary tools and templates to build or adapt an earn-out model to suit your specific needs.

Sources: NEW Financial Modeling Training Courses, Most Strategically Successful M&A deals of the last few years?, On Buyouts, There Ought to Be a Law, Reasonable entry multiple for buyout target?, Is there a website to find specific M&A deals?

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Set a probability on the earnout payment. Then discount the midpoint back to the present using a risk-free rate based on Treasury constant maturity rates, using linear interpolation to correspond to the milestone term. The concluded discount rate for the milestone should be equal to the risk-free rate plus option-adjusted spread to capture the credit risk of the payer (i.e. RF+ BBB or B credit risk).

 

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