National Championship Game

Alright fellas, I don't know about everyone else but I'm pretty stoked for the National Championship game tomorrow. It will be nice to see two explosive running attacks battle it out. LaMichael James and Cam Newton have a combined 41 rushing TDs and 3091 rushing yards between them, while Cam Newton has 48 total TDs and just under 4000 (3998) total yards to his own name. Let's not forget about Darron Thomas, though. He's got virtually passing numbers as Cam Newton (28 TDs and 2518 yards). I for one am hoping for a run and gun game with little defense and hopefully some last second heroics from one of these two. What do you guys think? Predictions?

FYI: Caesar's in Vegas has the Auburn favored (spread of -2.5) and an O/U of 74.

http://www.vegas.com/gaming/sportsline_ncaaf.html

 

Auburn easily. PAC-10 isn't very strong IMO outside of Oregon and Stanford and Oregon played very poorly against some crummy teams in the PAC-10

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Best Response
Jeffrey Immelt:
Auburn easily. PAC-10 isn't very strong IMO outside of Oregon and Stanford and Oregon played very poorly against some crummy teams in the PAC-10
I think I can use the SEC argument here for defending the PAC-10 in saying that the whole conference top to bottom is so strong that all the teams just beat each other. Case study: Washington - played 6 ranked teams, 2 in the top 10 , 4 of 6 losses to PAC-10 teams, gets pounded by Nebraska regular season only to crush them in the bowl game. ASU - gets pounded by 5 PAC-10 teams, had 2 snoozers for out of conference and a loss to #11 Wisconsin, doesn't get a bowl bid Arizona - 5 losses to PAC-10 teams, notable win against Iowa, gets a bad match up against OSU and loses in the bowl USC - beats 3 major out of conference teams, loses to ND, only other losses against PAC-10 Oregon St - close losses to #6 TCU and #3 Boise St, 5 other losses to PAC-10 teams, doesn't get a bowl bid Cal - 6 losses to PAC-10 teams, 1 close loss to Nevada which is now ranked #14, doesn't get a bowl bid UCLA - notable wins against #23 Houston and #7 Texas, loses to 7 PAC-10 teams and KState

Stanford - 2 wins against major ooc teams, loss against current #2 Oregon, crushes V-Tech in bowl Oregon - flawless season, bowl results pending

My argument is the PAC-10 has had respectable results against OOC teams and have basically eliminated each other for bowl contention. For the most part, the PAC-10 teams have to play 9 games against other PAC-10 teams, while the SEC gets to play only 8, even though there are 12 teams in the SEC. Thus the PAC-10 schedules get harder, making bowl eligibility tougher.

The ones that have made it to the bowl (Washington, Arizona, Stanford, Oregon) have put up solid results (minus Arizona). If Oregon does pound Auburn, there should be no doubt that the PAC-10 is the top conference.

 

Really Harvard..a win over "#7" Texas? Haha they didn't even make a bowl game and were last in Big 12 South. Or st. lost by 2 possessions to both tcu and boise. And how is Washington's reg-season crushing to Neb. an argument in their favor? Nebraska clearly didnt give a shit about that bowl game. USC- OOC wins against Hawaii, Minnesota, UVA--> 3 major ooc teams? Please.

Looks like we have a great WSO head of public relations/spin doctor if needed

haha just messin with you man. Stanford and Oregon are legit, the rest are a stretch. Theres a reason only 4 made bowl games.

 

Auburn had 6 wins against top 25 BCS opponents to Oregon's 1. SEC is stronger than the Top 10, we can rest upon that. Going undefeated in the SEC is an unbelievable accomplishment. That said, I cannot predict this game. I could see either team blowing the other out, so I don't think it will be a close game, though I don't know who will win. If I were betting, I would simply take the over.

 
Old Major:
Auburn had 6 wins against top 25 BCS opponents to Oregon's 1. SEC is stronger than the Top 10, we can rest upon that. Going undefeated in the SEC is an unbelievable accomplishment. That said, I cannot predict this game. I could see either team blowing the other out, so I don't think it will be a close game, though I don't know who will win. If I were betting, I would simply take the over.

I think the more relevant measure is the ranking of the opponent at the time of play... that way it factors in momentum, ability relative to the field, etc. With that being said, Oregon has wins over 3 top 25 while Auburn has 5. Honestly, I think Auburn's D will be too winded by the 3rd quarter to stop Oregon. Oregon's played tough defense in the past and completely roll them in the 3rd quarter because the opposing Ds cant keep up, even though they might have played well in the first half.

 
HarvardOrBust:
Old Major:
Auburn had 6 wins against top 25 BCS opponents to Oregon's 1. SEC is stronger than the Top 10, we can rest upon that. Going undefeated in the SEC is an unbelievable accomplishment. That said, I cannot predict this game. I could see either team blowing the other out, so I don't think it will be a close game, though I don't know who will win. If I were betting, I would simply take the over.

I think the more relevant measure is the ranking of the opponent at the time of play... that way it factors in momentum, ability relative to the field, etc. With that being said, Oregon has wins over 3 top 25 while Auburn has 5. Honestly, I think Auburn's D will be too winded by the 3rd quarter to stop Oregon. Oregon's played tough defense in the past and completely roll them in the 3rd quarter because the opposing Ds cant keep up, even though they might have played well in the first half.

HAHAHAHA you think Auburn's D will be winded? really? SEC teams have one thing going for them it is there athletic ability.

Other then that though I respect what you have said about the PAC-10 I wasn't really aware of the amount of inner conference games. I do not think though a win by Oregon allows the Pac-10 to be considered the hands down best conference.

All in all though this should be the best BCS NC game played since its inception. Really excited

 

Auburn without a doubt. I put money on AU at -3, and I would have liked to get +150 odds or so with AU -7. I see Auburn running away with the game in the 3rd/4th quarter after possibly being down at the half.

There is no chance in hell Oregon's defense is going to stop Cam or Dyer, while the AU defense (and especially their defensive line) will not have a problem stopping the Oregon rushing attack. I am a bit nervous about the Auburn secondary, but I think they will get so much pressure on Darren Thomas that the weakness of the corners/safeties will not be an issue.

And to the people saying that Auburn "isn't that good because they only beat UK by 3"- you obviously don't watch much SEC football. Every week is a battle, and it is EXTREMELY difficult to win road games, especially when you come in undefeated with a target on your back.

Additionally, I think anyone picking the over is going to regret it. The over was at 75 the last time I saw it, which is a ridiculous number of points. It is a popular pick because of how strong each team's offense is, but I don't think it is a smart one.

 

Just to stir up the pot a little more, Oregon averages double the points per game (49) that Auburn does. This can definitely be attributed to arguably much tougher defense in the SEC. But I think this is truly just gonna be a good ol' ball game. Auburn also gives up more points that Oregon does (24 vs. Oregon's 18), and granted, that may not be a huge disparity, but Oregon also plays in a conference that is not typically known for their defense. Just some further thoughts to think about... I think Oregon's D often gets overlooked because of how stellar their Offense is, but they don't give up a whole lot of points very often (just ask Stanford about how much trouble they had in the second half).

 
rufiolove:
Just to stir up the pot a little more, Oregon averages double the points per game (49) that Auburn does. This can definitely be attributed to arguably much tougher defense in the SEC. But I think this is truly just gonna be a good ol' ball game. Auburn also gives up more points that Oregon does (24 vs. Oregon's 18), and granted, that may not be a huge disparity, but Oregon also plays in a conference that is not typically known for their defense. Just some further thoughts to think about... I think Oregon's D often gets overlooked because of how stellar their Offense is, but they don't give up a whole lot of points very often (just ask Stanford about how much trouble they had in the second half).

Orgeon's defense is really a dark horse here, agreed.

 

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