Return Rates For Interns Are Falling?

Seeing chatter about UBS, boutiques like Evercore/PJT/Lazard, and BBs cutting back?

Is it AI that's driving this, or is it just spending on senior talent that is making it more difficult to justify?

149 Comments
 

Speaking from my experience with interns across my bank this year, quality has been very low. I’ve heard of other groups going below 1/3 return offer rate

 

what do you mean by low quality out of curiosity? are they just awkward or bad work?

 

Work quality related, sometimes attitude too. I don’t think anyone would hold awkwardness against an intern though, at least not in my group

 

Since 2020-2022, interns have gotten legitimately dumber / more useless every year. No idea whether it’s social stunting from COVID, cheating during COVID, over reliance on AI, brain rot from short form video, but the average intern/analyst is pretty retarded now. Some exceptions and super strong interns/analysts of course. 

 

Really? I only know what exists from my own experience but at my school, (granted it’s a non target) the bar for what is expected keeps on getting raised higher and higher. I mean significantly too, when I was a freshman many of the seniors who were going FT IB were somewhat dumb, but now the senior class contains some of the smartest people I know Wondering if this dynamic you’re seeing exists within a certain group or area.

 

Probably a case of the non-targets who break in getting sharper and sharper, since it’s probably more competitive in absolute terms for them to break in. 

I think the median quality at targets has declined significantly due to DEI (+legacy and athletes). We’ve had DEI interns from HYP who can’t even figure how to make a bar chart in Excel.  

 

College admissions are an unfair lottery, involving fabricating your personal statements and exaggerating everything you have done, not to mention DEI and legacy. Additionally, the U.S. school system is so poor that practically anyone can get perfect grades in high school.

 
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Let’s step back for a moment. Why do you think a bank filled with people from ivy leagues, would ever choose to recruit from places other than Ivy leagues?

1. Nepo + Frat Pipeline + Effort to Expand Into New Footprints (literally just for the sake of looking like you’re not an elitist firm hiring from elitist schools)

And/or

2. People realized that the intellect threshold required for IB is not as high as it seems. As a result they started to recruit people that they like. At the end of the day, a few of those so called UAlabama Retards, actually s aren’t that dumb and it turns out they can actually think and work just like you (another human is just as capable as me?!? No shot!) And at the magnificent finish line of a long ass deal, you can go grab a ice cold miller lite with the guys from the bullpen instead of circle jerking each other over a bottle of cristal at a private table with people who can only complain or talk PE exits.

 

Guarantee you the kid from bama 1) grinded their ass off to get their seat and 2) is more fun to grab a beer with 

 

I guess anyone who isn't a white or asian male is DEI. The default to blame DEI for quality declines is definitely something, considering the industry is still dominated by white and asian guys (Which isn't an inherently bad thing), but trying to scapegoat them as if to imply that if those policies didn't exist no one else would be in finance besides the aforementioned groups is exactly why those policies existed in the first place. 

I mean you can pick any year at any financial institution and look at their summer intern class, AN1 class, all the way through to the MDs and see who makes up the majority of those groups.

 

Can confirm. They also seem much less interested/curious in the work we do , which drives me fucking nuts when I need to train some of them and it feels like I'm talking to the walls (ie. I want to hear lots of questions during ur internship to see that u give some fucks)

incentives trumph ethics
 

Prestige has destroyed minds. Lack of appreciation, they all want the next best thing.

Don’t necessarily want to say wealth is probably the main driver for this. But you would almost never see someone from a humble background or non target background ever pull this shit. Genuinely embarrassing for that kid. Hope he kicks rocks realizing he’s making 90th percentile earnings per hour as an intern.

 

Analyst at top team in BB in London

Intern quality is quite high - one intern work two full days at office for ~30 hours over the weekend. And finish one workday at 4 am while getting up early for the 7am meeting

Made minor mistake but really minor. Most of the times great delivery quality

Associate in the team also says this class is very strong because we recruit mostly European interns with continental internships on the belt

Our team is consistently high return rate in history

 

Anonymous Monkey:

Analyst at top team in BB in London



Intern quality is quite high - one intern work two full days at office for ~30 hours over the weekend. And finish one workday at 4 am while getting up early for the 7am meeting



Made minor mistake but really minor. Most of the times great delivery quality



Associate in the team also says this class is very strong because we recruit mostly European interns with continental internships on the belt



Our team is consistently high return rate in history




Congrats on MS!

 

not MS haha. Think MS has a stronger European culture. Our team culture is quite diverse

 

yeah, not a good position. But it is what it is. At least we give return offers in London. In certain boutique in Frankfurt, interns are expected to grind 100 hours or more weekly with no guarantee in return. In Paris, certain bank offer 0 return offer for the whole intern class. In Italy, there are not even many intern positions.

Not really sure why people here say intern quality is low.

 

Hey! I am coming to London next week to start the MFA. I have one year worth of experience from a PE fund in Scandinavia. I would love to get smarter on the industry. Would you mind me asking you a few question in DMs?

 

IB is the new accounting. All the good talent went to tech now given the AI boom and thats where the money is at. IB pay is equivalent to accounting pay now adjusted for hours and the retarded work. why would anyone sharp or smart go into this retarded field lol.

 

Ignore title. Based off my group (and generally the undergrads/people I went to school with), the prestige of schools we hire from deteriorates every year because the kids from T10 who do come lateral or leave afer a year before they finish out the 2 year contracts and are realizing that the pay/hours/"knowledge" you get from this work is diminishing with the onslaught of AI. The smartest kids in finance go straight to the buyside and the others look for work life balance jobs that pay a lot such as tech/quant or do startups which is prob more fulfilling. This leaves only the dumber kids of T10 schools and less prestigious state schools in IB.

 

You can’t lead with “based on my group” then proceed to generalize the entire industry. I’ve been doing this job for a little over 5 years now and the truth is that it’s an exercise in futility to assign competency to anyone based on their undergrad

 

I think the whole "the smartest kids in finance go to buyside" perspective is beyond played in 2026.

The kids who go to the buyside in 2026 are not really uniquely intelligent at all, imho. Certainly some very smart ones in the bunch, but realistically they are simply the latest buyers of the extremely crowded trade that is IB>Buyside>B-school>Buyside>???>Profit. If I'm being honest, the majority of the smartest kids I have seen join my desk over my decade+ have ultimately been the ones that either stayed with us or stayed in our vertical and moved to another bank. On the contrary, many of the most underwhelming juniors I've known are the ones that left for flashy buyside offers only to find them washed out of the industry when I check back on their LinkedIn after two years.

Ask all the hardcapped VPs getting pushed out old boy funds that won't hit hurdle about how their career underwrite was the smartest, lmao. Buy side strong side, right?

 

Analysts and associates today get paid the same nominally as back in 2018-2019. See old comp threads here. I knew someone who started as AN1 at GS in 2018 and her expectation was to make $150k all in first year. Median 1BR rent in Manhattan was $3k back then. We are now seeing news that it’s reaching $5.5k. Comp is deteriorating relative to inflation each year yet people who have been doing this job for 5-10 years expect newcomers to be just as good / committed as they were once upon a time. Banks expect unreasonably good commitment / quality while paying only reasonably good money. The only solution to attracting better talent is to pay more.

 

Associate 2 in IB - Cov

Analysts and associates today get paid the same nominally as back in 2018-2019. See old comp threads here. I knew someone who started as AN1 at GS in 2018 and her expectation was to make $150k all in first year. Median 1BR rent in Manhattan was $3k back then. We are now seeing news that it’s reaching $5.5k. Comp is deteriorating relative to inflation each year yet people who have been doing this job for 5-10 years expect newcomers to be just as good / committed as they were once upon a time. Banks expect unreasonably good commitment / quality while paying only reasonably good money. The only solution to attracting better talent is to pay more.

Base was 85k back then…GS and definitely MS were not paying analysts ~90% bonus

I don’t believe your rent estimate for a 1 bed is correct either...unless it’s a specific remark about Fidi / downtown 

 

When salaries went up in 2020-2021, bonus as a % of base went down with it. I know a director who made $400k as an AS2 in 2019 at a top BB. As AS1 he cleared more than $300k. Hardly any AS2 at top BBs get $400k today (even top bucket). Also see Corcoran Group and various news outlets published the $5,500 number earlier this year. Or are you saying banks are keeping up with inflation over the last 10 years? Everybody knows pay hasnt kept up with inflation since the GFC but many don’t even realize even over the last 8-12 years pay has deteriorated across top BBs

 

Unlikely to be AI, I think most leading white collar firms (not just IB but consulting, law etc) if anything are gearing up for an arms race that will primarily involve direct AI spend but will also need to be bolstered by good juniors as companies want every resource possible to make sure they come out ahead and not behind.

Usually when companies have low return offer rates its (i) company-wide problems where they are looking everywhere possible to slash costs and the future FT class is just one of many cost cuts, and (ii) an issue of intern quality, which causes the firms to recruit hard in the FT fall class.

 

Think Summer Analyst classes across the street were quite large as HR would have set the headcount target in late 2024 or early 2025 (pre-tariffs), when future outlook was generally very positive for IB. Still pretty good market for IB, but with AI and large classes I think returns could dip. If I'm wrong correct me. My bank had a huge class but not exactly sure how it shook out.

 

All of the above.speaking to VPs like they were there friends, doom scrolling throughout the day

 

Interns in my group generally had a lack of “understanding their audience”. E.g., coffee chats with seniors and asking inappropriate questions, poor self awareness, generally hard to hold a conversation with, etc. Work product was fine, was what you’d expect with an intern and we don’t over index to it (we can teach anyone what they need to know once they join full time). Not sure how returns offers will go but would guess any that don’t get it will be for cultural reasons (not because of AI or not having the room to hire)

 

Asking deeply personal / inappropriate questions to MDs, PortCo CEO they just met. Bluntly telling MDs/Directors that their investments were poorly thought through. There’s more but these were the worst offenses. If we can’t put you in a room with someone and trust you not to say or do something embarassing… it’s tough, doing good work can’t save you from a lack of social aptitude.

 

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