SA 21 Return Rates will be astronomically high
Here is my reasoning, many firms cut their SA class for 2021 due to worried about COVID but 2021 will be a blockbuster M&A year and return offers will be very very high
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I don't know much about the internal hiring needs of companies so I would take a guess and agree, however I wouldn't be surprised if it's a small bump from 2019 offer rates.
I am curious however what this will mean for incoming analysts this year. Assuming that banks on average took a much smaller class than previous years what exactly does this mean for career advancement and salary progression? Say you finish your second year, would banks not try to get you to become an A2A and will just let you leave to PE given that they will have a bunch of 1st year analysts (which would be the SA21 class that will have since graduated) or will they try to keep you at the firm given that they would want to retain talent as well as make sure that they will even have A1s at the firm?
ya interesting point
I think it's one of those things that's trivial now, however the effects of this wont really be seen until 2022-2023. Obviously this shouldn't encourage incoming analysts to think about their career plan now for what they want to do at their 2 year stint such as with trying to find another job say 1.5 years in, however it would suck to get laid off for something that's out of your control but also had some time technically to plan around.
bump, would love some insight from current An/As
For EBs (not sure about all but mine and a couple others I have friends at) the analyst classes aren't really different from previous years, and the return rates are usually very high (nearly 100% for people who wanted to return) anyway. Not sure about BBs, but I think it's likely group dependent, as top groups tend to already have very high return rates. I could see this perhaps affecting the BB groups that were hit hard this year, like O&G regional offices
gotcha makes sense, I'll be at a top FIG that usually only cuts 0-2 but cut 3-5 last summer from that I heard
So really hoping it goes back to that 0-2 number haha
How about for banks like Jefferies that shafted interns and gave low return rates to the groups that people didn't rank? Will they just hire a bunch of people to fix their "mistake" in this FT recruiting process right now or will they hire a bunch of laterals? Also what about banks and other firms in general that cut internship programs altogether or ones with 1 or 2 week "programs" that didn't really give out FT offers?
yo fuck rich handler bro
No clue, but I wouldnt want to work at a place like that in the first place
a lot of the JEF interns that originally got cut ended up getting offers after deal flow picked up and HR revised headcount. Return offer rate for SA 2020 is now much closer to traditional numbers and JEF is even hiring FT analysts now.
Where’d you buy your crystal ball?
from your wife's boyfriend
bump
Hoping this becomes truth, also for OC since I have one starting August 21 right after SAs end their stint
interested
interested
Not sure if I agree with your logic, my firm did not cut our SA 21 class at all.
really EB or BB?
bump
bump
I disagree completely. Most companies packed on debt... you can only be so levered. This will kill classic financing (growth) and M&A for years. To anyone who says BuT m&A iS kIlliNg It RiGhT nOw... once this wave is over, you have effectively killed the market for years (akin to what happened to S&T after 2008
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