Should we expect low conversion rates this year? (London)

With all the news regarding inflation etc, are return rates at banks likely to be low this year for SA’s? Would low be 50%? Or do some years see 20-30% return rates in particularly bad years? Specifically asking for London ofc all speculation. 

 

So if someone is a bad performer but diverse they’ll take them over a strong performing non diverse?

 

This is what no one gets, as if conversion is a randomised process.

​​​​​Conversion rates (in the range we're talking about within banking) really would only matter if the conversion process was random (it isn't) or if you somehow could try to convert more than once (obviously not true).

Conversion rates vary in normal years too because sometimes classes are just shit. All that's gonna happen is they're going to take less on-the-fence mediocre candidates. So just don't be this person...

 

what groups r predicted to have higher/lower conversion rates?

 

Humm let’s see… oh yeah I can’t predict the future -.-

 

Would expect lower conversion rates (in no particular order) from ecm, levfin, c&r, sponsors and maybe fig depending on how diversified the team is across subsectors. Curious to hear what others think.

 

As an incoming sponsors intern, I'm curious to hear your thoughts on why u think Sponsors would have lower conversion rates this yr. 

 

Do you think this applies to infrastructure as a whole? Like by energy do you mean o&g Houston type stuff or more downstream energy infra too? Renewables seems to be doing well too I think

 

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