Sign of the times? - Which operations will be shut down or sold?
Some of you have probably seen this, but whatever, its pretty funny.
Bodoglife.com Odds On: Which financial services company/bank will be the next to shut down operations or be sold?
Morgan Stanley 4/1 Lehman Brothers Holdings 7/4 Goldman Sachs 3/1 Merrill Lynch 6/1 Citigroup 10/1 UBS 6/1 Barclays Capital 8/1
If it doesn't happen before June 30, 2008 its no action though.
GS 3 on 1 to go under by june? UBS 6 on 1? MS 4 on 1? What optimism...
Go under OR get acquired.
still?
Somehow I doubt these odds represent the most efficient market prices.
With little to no idea of how things will play out, I'd be inclined to over-price the outcomes (and under-price the payouts) as well.
How is goldman priced at 3-1 odds is beyond me. Do you know what they are using to make the odds?
I really think there are inefficiencies in the odds that can be exploited - how reliable is depositing and withdrawing money from this site?
I think it's reliable, but there's a $50 maximum.
now my question is... who the heck has the money to acquire these companies and afford to take on this kind of risk???
nevermind, i forgot about the Fed
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