What are some back-of-the-envelope IB tricks you’ve learned?
Just thought I’d start this thread since I frankly suck at “high level” math, so I would love to learn what you all have encountered.
I’ll start with two examples from my experience:
1) Estimating value creation for an acquirer in a transaction with a publicly-traded target by looking at equity premium paid minus after-tax run-rate synergies multiplied by P/E multiple. Essentially, framework is that you are paying a premium for the synergy value.
2) Implying the “long-term earnings growth” of a company by looking at cost of equity (as calculated with observable betas using CAPM) minus the earnings yield (EPS divided by stock price). Framework is that theoretical return on equity should equal the earnings yield plus earnings growth.
Based on the most helpful WSO content, here are some additional back-of-the-envelope tricks and frameworks often used in investment banking:
Accretion/Dilution Quick Check for All-Stock Acquisitions:
Estimating Terminal Value Using Multiples:
Quick FCF Generation Check:
LBO IRR Approximation:
Revenue Growth Impact on EBITDA:
Quick Valuation Using EV/Sales:
Debt Capacity Estimation:
Quick DCF Sanity Check:
$$ \text{Terminal Value} = \frac{\text{Final Year Free Cash Flow} \times (1 + \text{Growth Rate})}{\text{Discount Rate} - \text{Growth Rate}} $$
Then, add the present value of cash flows to the terminal value to get a rough enterprise value.
These tricks are not substitutes for detailed analysis but are great for quick assessments or sanity checks during discussions or interviews.
Sources: Notes for Technical Interview Questions, Is value investing dead?, POPULAR ACCOUNTING/FINANCE QUESTIONS, Long term, concentrated, deep fundamental investing, PE professional, what's your process while judging an investment?
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