I've been debating loading up on a few put options prior to earnings today in the wake of zynga's loss yesterday. Thoughts on how to profit off of today's numbers?
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I feel like if FB reports lackluster user base growth today this thing has potential to get crushed
I see two things happening. Either A. They beat slightly or come in line, with some decent/passable results and the thing moves up big. B. They miss, growth slowing, lackluster user monetization etc and the thing gets obliterated a la zynga. Probably not as bad, but certainly will take a beating. It's a coin flip to me at this point, because it has sold off and I think the expectations are ugly, thus, i favor A actually happening with B being what should happen. In other words: I have no idea. Haha.
So you think they will either A go up or B go down, thanks for the insight.
lol that's what i got from it, but his last statement explicitly indicated he's unsure so really he's just role playing a few scenarios.
That is exactly my point. It's a coin flip. Your betting on the first period earnings of one of the highest profiles IPO's in history. So pick your favorite scenario and bet accordingly. Feel free to add your own insight, if you'd like.
I am shorting!
Anyone know the break evens on the ATM straddle?
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