Last Chance for Japan?

We consider modern politics in the United States to be pretty messed up lately, but when a country has its sixth Prime Minister in five years and is characterized by a split parliament, one can take some consolation that our frustration with the current state of politics is shared.

I’m talking, of course, about Japan, which has just recently elevated its finance minister, Yoshihiko Noda, to be prime minister:

https://www.foxnews.com/world/2011/08/30/japans-p…

While we’re already getting tired of recession and think that it’s been going on forever, the Japanese have had to deal with anemic growth since the early 1990’s. Deflation is well-documented, the strengthening yen damages export profits, and its distribution system adds layer after layer of unnecessary cost to consumer goods. And of course, there is the ever-graying population to be considered, a problem common to all developed nations.

The Bank of Japan’s poor decision to raise interest rates as an economic recovery seemed imminent in August 2000 (thus choking it off) didn’t help either.

Some of the older gorillas on this board may remember that this used to be the economy that “everyone knew” would one day surpass the United States. Now “everyone knows” that “Japan is finished,” yet I’m personally hesitant to make that claim.

It’s still the world’s second or third-largest economy (depending on which method you use), it’s still a very important consumer market and currency, and its companies are at the forefront of many global industries.

“But Flesh, Japan hasn’t had solid growth for twenty years; what’s going to make it start now?” I can hear you ask. Recall that for twenty years in the 60s and 70s, the US economy wasn’t exactly sprinting ahead of the pack either; economies cannot be in a state of perpetual boom.

Are you convinced either way? Is Japan due for a rev-up? How does Noda kickstart the engine?

3 Comments
 
ivoteforthatguythe economy and society of japan is geared toward the maintenance of the privileges of the old.

that's the cause of the malaise. the rest is details.

What's frightening about that analysis is that the United States is following in Japan's footsteps...

 

Aperiam ratione quaerat excepturi non et voluptatem quo. Molestiae quis voluptatem natus delectus. Eius est aut esse. Rerum voluptates dolor porro pariatur repellendus et. Quibusdam ipsa quasi ut vitae occaecati.

Career Advancement Opportunities

July 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.4%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.9%
  • JPMorgan 01 98.3%
  • Guggenheim Partners 01 97.7%
  • Morgan Stanley 07 97.1%

Overall Employee Satisfaction

July 2026 Investment Banking

  • Moelis & Company No 99.4%
  • Evercore No 98.9%
  • Morgan Stanley 01 98.3%
  • BMO Capital Markets 12 97.7%
  • Banco Santander 01 97.1%

Professional Growth Opportunities

July 2026 Investment Banking

  • Evercore 01 99.4%
  • Moelis & Company 01 98.9%
  • Morgan Stanley 06 98.3%
  • Goldman Sachs 01 97.7%
  • JPMorgan 01 97.1%

Total Avg Compensation

July 2026 Investment Banking

  • Vice President (15) $434
  • Associates (46) $258
  • 3rd+ Year Analyst (8) $210
  • 2nd Year Analyst (22) $179
  • Intern/Summer Associate (13) $156
  • 1st Year Analyst (79) $150
  • Intern/Summer Analyst (73) $101
notes
16 IB Interviews Notes

“... there’s no excuse to not take advantage of the resources out there available to you. Best value for your $ are the...”

Leaderboard

1
redever's picture
redever
99.2
2
kanon's picture
kanon
99.0
3
BankonBanking's picture
BankonBanking
99.0
4
Secyh62's picture
Secyh62
99.0
5
dosk17's picture
dosk17
98.9
6
Betsy Massar's picture
Betsy Massar
98.9
7
GameTheory's picture
GameTheory
98.9
8
CompBanker's picture
CompBanker
98.9
9
DrApeman's picture
DrApeman
98.9
10
numi's picture
numi
98.8
success
From 10 rejections to 1 dream investment banking internship

“... I believe it was the single biggest reason why I ended up with an offer...”