Best Areas of High Finance in Recession
Title says it all. If you’re picking a handful of areas of high finance that are best positioned for a recession (with or without inflationary environment), what would they be?
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How does credit investing, special sits credit, and private credit fare during economic downturns?
If you did well underwriting during the cycle then your portfolio shouldn’t be blowing up and you’ll benefit from higher rates. In times of volatility, capital market is shut/can’t price paper in public so businesses/sponsors will go to private debt for financing.
Bump
Is Lev Fin risky to head down towards right now
Large cap PE gonna be just fine
Factually incorrect, see performance of large cap sponsor fund raised in 2004-05 hence deployed in 2004-07 at top multiples.
Returns are different than your job stability. I repeat, they gonna be fine. Particularly in today’s day and age
Anywhere with decade-long contractual annual revenue (AUM Fee)
Some hedge funds will blow it out of the water, others will close shop.
All in all, PE would be the safest bet (particularly MM+)
Short biased hedge fund at least for a little bit
People who say “high finance” make me want to end it all
What’s “low finance”? If there’s a high there must be a low right? If I google it I just get low interest car loans.
Northwestern Mutual is the Harvard of Low Finance
Payday lending and pawn shops, that's like the bottom of the low.
Distressed debt funds.
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